Bosnia’s Dysfunction Snarls Efforts to Curb Moscow’s Reach in the Balkans

Bosnia’s Dysfunction Snarls Efforts to Curb Moscow’s Reach in the Balkans

The New York Times-World·2024-02-22 17:03

Already struggling to contain intractable crises in the Middle East and Ukraine, the United States is also grappling with an impasse in the Balkans over a gas pipeline into Bosnia, an issue that is freighted with big geopolitical stakes.

The project, backed by both the United States and the European Union but blocked by the ethnic feuds that have long hobbled Bosnia, aims to break Moscow’s stranglehold on gas supplies to a fragile nation tugged between East and West.

The proposed pipeline, which would bring in natural gas from neighboring Croatia, a member of NATO and of the European Union, would be only 100 miles long and cost roughly $110 million, a pittance next to the $15 billion it took to build the Nord Stream gas connector between Russia and Germany.

But it would severely reduce Moscow’s influence in a highly volatile region. Russia frequently used its control of energy as a weapon against Ukraine in the years leading up to its full-scale invasion in February 2022 and has since used it to undermine European unity by offering sweet energy deals to countries such as Hungary and Serbia.

Russia has no territorial claims on Bosnia or other Balkan nations, and its main goal has been to keep them from integrating with the West.

Image

The Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline in Lubmin, Germany in 2022. The project cost $15 billion to build. Credit...Laetitia Vancon for The New York Times

Map locates existing and proposed pipelines in Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina.

CROATIA

SERBIA

Existing pipelines

Novi Grad

Krk

Banja

Luka

Proposed pipelines

(supported by

Serbia and Russia)

Serb area

Existing

pipelines

Proposed

pipelines

(supported by

the U.S.)

Travnik

Zenica

Sarajevo

Muslim-Croat

federation

Split

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

Mostar

Adriatic Sea

50 miles

CROATIA

Proposed pipelines

(supported by

Serbia and Russia)

Existing

pipelines

SERBIA

Banja Luka

Proposed pipelines

(supported

by the U.S.)

Travnik

Sarajevo

BOSNIA AND

HERZEGOVINA

Split

Mostar

Adriatic Sea

50 miles

By Julie Walton Shaver

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