Latest COVID-19 projections from Columbia University show mid-May spike if social distancing is relaxed

Latest COVID-19 projections from Columbia University show mid-May spike if social distancing is relaxed

TechCrunch·2020-04-23 07:02

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Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health has released updated projections of when we can expect U.S. case numbers of COVID-19 infections to peak and decline, based on different levels of social distancing measures. The updated projects, which take into account the most recent information, show that with around a 30% decrease in social contact we could be nearing a national peak of new cases for now by the end of April — but that if you decrease social contact by just 20%, the picture changes drastically, with a late peak that extends into mid-May and grows the number of new daily cases to as many as 30,000.

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