What We Know About the Fate of Iran’s Nuclear Program After Israeli and U.S. Strikes
This weekend, President Trump declared that Iran’s nuclear capabilities were “completely and totally obliterated” by U.S. airstrikes. The full extent of the damage, which is being assessed by U.S. spy agencies, is still unclear.
Several disclosures and claims by U.S. and United Nations officials, along with satellite images taken after the U.S. and Israeli airstrikes, have shed some light on the situation in Iran:
A leaked U.S. intelligence report said the attacks set back Iran’s nuclear program by only a few months — a finding disputed by Mr. Trump.
The C.I.A. director, John Ratcliffe, said on Wednesday the strikes had “severely damaged” Iran’s nuclear program.
Rafael Grossi, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said on Thursday that centrifuges at the deeply buried Fordo uranium enrichment plant are “no longer operational,” but that it would be “too much” to assert that Iran’s nuclear program had been “wiped out.”
Here’s what we know so far about the state of Iran’s nuclear program after the Israeli and U.S. attacks:
Iran built the Fordo Fuel Enrichment Plant deep inside a mountain, impervious to all but a repeated assault from American “bunker buster” bombs. A U.S. official said that six B-2 bombers dropped a dozen 30,000-pound bombs on Fordo on Sunday.
Fordo nuclear site
Deep inside a mountain,
Fordo is said to contain close
to 3,000 sophisticated centrifuges
in two enrichment halls.
IRAN
Support
building
Tunnel
entrances
Security perimeter
Fordo nuclear site
IRAN
Deep inside a mountain,
Fordo is said to contain close
to 3,000 sophisticated centrifuges
in two enrichment halls.
Support
building
Tunnel
entrances
Security perimeter
Fordo nuclear site
Deep inside a mountain,
Fordo is said to contain close
to 3,000 sophisticated centrifuges
in two enrichment halls.
IRAN
Support
building
Tunnel
entrances
Security perimeter
Sources: Nuclear Threat Initiative; Google Earth (terrain)
The Fordo site contained thousands of Iran’s most advanced centrifuges to enrich uranium, which could be used in a nuclear weapon. In 2023, the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N. nuclear watchdog, reported that it had discovered uranium that had been enriched to 83.7 percent purity at Fordo — just under the 90 percent required for a weapon.
Satellite images taken shortly after the U.S. airstrikes reveal damage and likely entry points for the American bunker-buster bombs. The images show distinct changes in the ground’s appearance and gray dust near the possible strike locations.
After strikes
June 22
Entrance tunnel
filled with dirt
Security
perimeter
Fordo nuclear site
Entrance tunnels
filled with dirt
Likely bomb
entry holes
Entrance tunnel
filled with dirt
Debris
Main enrichment hall thought
to be deep underground
Debris
Support building
appears intact
Likely bomb
entry holes
After strikes
June 22
Entrance tunnel
filled with dirt
Fordo nuclear site
Entrance tunnels
filled with dirt
Likely bomb
entry holes
Entrance tunnel
filled with dirt
Debris
Main enrichment hall thought
to be deep underground
Debris
Support building
appears intact
Likely bomb
entry holes
Security
perimeter
After strikes
June 22
Entrance tunnel
filled with dirt
Fordo nuclear site
Entrance tunnels
filled with dirt
Likely bomb
entry holes
Entrance tunnel
filled with dirt
Debris
Main enrichment hall thought
to be deep underground
Debris
Support building
appears intact
Likely bomb
entry holes
Security
perimeter
Source: Satellite image from Maxar Technologies
By Josh Holder
Damaged electric
substation
Previously destroyed
by Israel
Natanz Nuclear
Facility
New damage after U.S. strike
Destroyed
in 2020
Pilot fuel
enrichment
plant
Likely bomb
entry point
Gray
dust
Likely bomb entry point above
where the enrichment halls are
believed to be built
Damaged electric
substation
Previously
destroyed by Israel
New damage
after U.S. strike
Destroyed
in 2020
Pilot fuel
enrichment
plant
Likely bomb
entry point
Natanz
Nuclear
Facility
Gray
dust
Likely bomb entry point above
where the enrichment halls are
believed to be built
Source: Institute for Science and International Security. Satellite image from June 22 by Maxar Technologies.
By Leanne Abraham
Entrance tunnels
filled with dirt
ISFAHAN NUCLEAR
FUEL RESEARCH AND
PRODUCTION CENTER
Previous
damage
Damage since
June 21
Entrance tunnels
filled with dirt
ISFAHAN NUCLEAR
FUEL RESEARCH AND
PRODUCTION CENTER
Previous
damage
Damage since
June 21
Source: Satellite image from June 23 by Planet Labs
By Ashley Cai
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