What We Know About the Fate of Iran’s Nuclear Program After Israeli and U.S. Strikes

What We Know About the Fate of Iran’s Nuclear Program After Israeli and U.S. Strikes

The New York Times-World·2025-06-27 17:00

This weekend, President Trump declared that Iran’s nuclear capabilities were “completely and totally obliterated” by U.S. airstrikes. The full extent of the damage, which is being assessed by U.S. spy agencies, is still unclear.

Several disclosures and claims by U.S. and United Nations officials, along with satellite images taken after the U.S. and Israeli airstrikes, have shed some light on the situation in Iran:

A leaked U.S. intelligence report said the attacks set back Iran’s nuclear program by only a few months — a finding disputed by Mr. Trump.

The C.I.A. director, John Ratcliffe, said on Wednesday the strikes had “severely damaged” Iran’s nuclear program.

Rafael Grossi, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said on Thursday that centrifuges at the deeply buried Fordo uranium enrichment plant are “no longer operational,” but that it would be “too much” to assert that Iran’s nuclear program had been “wiped out.”

Here’s what we know so far about the state of Iran’s nuclear program after the Israeli and U.S. attacks:

What to know:

Fordo

Natanz

Isfahan

A secret site

Where’s the enriched uranium?

Fordo

Iran built the Fordo Fuel Enrichment Plant deep inside a mountain, impervious to all but a repeated assault from American “bunker buster” bombs. A U.S. official said that six B-2 bombers dropped a dozen 30,000-pound bombs on Fordo on Sunday.

Fordo nuclear site

Deep inside a mountain,

Fordo is said to contain close

to 3,000 sophisticated centrifuges

in two enrichment halls.

IRAN

Support

building

Tunnel

entrances

Security perimeter

Fordo nuclear site

IRAN

Deep inside a mountain,

Fordo is said to contain close

to 3,000 sophisticated centrifuges

in two enrichment halls.

Support

building

Tunnel

entrances

Security perimeter

Fordo nuclear site

Deep inside a mountain,

Fordo is said to contain close

to 3,000 sophisticated centrifuges

in two enrichment halls.

IRAN

Support

building

Tunnel

entrances

Security perimeter

Sources: Nuclear Threat Initiative; Google Earth (terrain)

The Fordo site contained thousands of Iran’s most advanced centrifuges to enrich uranium, which could be used in a nuclear weapon. In 2023, the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N. nuclear watchdog, reported that it had discovered uranium that had been enriched to 83.7 percent purity at Fordo — just under the 90 percent required for a weapon.

Satellite images taken shortly after the U.S. airstrikes reveal damage and likely entry points for the American bunker-buster bombs. The images show distinct changes in the ground’s appearance and gray dust near the possible strike locations.

After strikes

June 22

Entrance tunnel

filled with dirt

Security

perimeter

Fordo nuclear site

Entrance tunnels

filled with dirt

Likely bomb

entry holes

Entrance tunnel

filled with dirt

Debris

Main enrichment hall thought

to be deep underground

Debris

Support building

appears intact

Likely bomb

entry holes

After strikes

June 22

Entrance tunnel

filled with dirt

Fordo nuclear site

Entrance tunnels

filled with dirt

Likely bomb

entry holes

Entrance tunnel

filled with dirt

Debris

Main enrichment hall thought

to be deep underground

Debris

Support building

appears intact

Likely bomb

entry holes

Security

perimeter

After strikes

June 22

Entrance tunnel

filled with dirt

Fordo nuclear site

Entrance tunnels

filled with dirt

Likely bomb

entry holes

Entrance tunnel

filled with dirt

Debris

Main enrichment hall thought

to be deep underground

Debris

Support building

appears intact

Likely bomb

entry holes

Security

perimeter

Source: Satellite image from Maxar Technologies

By Josh Holder

Damaged electric

substation

Previously destroyed

by Israel

Natanz Nuclear

Facility

New damage after U.S. strike

Destroyed

in 2020

Pilot fuel

enrichment

plant

Likely bomb

entry point

Gray

dust

Likely bomb entry point above

where the enrichment halls are

believed to be built

Damaged electric

substation

Previously

destroyed by Israel

New damage

after U.S. strike

Destroyed

in 2020

Pilot fuel

enrichment

plant

Likely bomb

entry point

Natanz

Nuclear

Facility

Gray

dust

Likely bomb entry point above

where the enrichment halls are

believed to be built

Source: Institute for Science and International Security. Satellite image from June 22 by Maxar Technologies.

By Leanne Abraham

Entrance tunnels

filled with dirt

ISFAHAN NUCLEAR

FUEL RESEARCH AND

PRODUCTION CENTER

Previous

damage

Damage since

June 21

Entrance tunnels

filled with dirt

ISFAHAN NUCLEAR

FUEL RESEARCH AND

PRODUCTION CENTER

Previous

damage

Damage since

June 21

Source: Satellite image from June 23 by Planet Labs

By Ashley Cai

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